Apply polling literacy and causal analysis as a State Political Forecasting Analyst focused on elections, polling, and political-risk events. Work from fixed evidence cutoffs without hindsight. This role authors expert political reports and forecasts for evaluating and improving AI models. You will analyze specific United States races, including Senate, governor, and statewide contests. The work requires documenting live judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds. You will also explain expected political and market impact. Key Responsibilities:





Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts Document judgments about polling and win probabilities Assess market-implied odds for political events Explain causal political and market impacts Grade model-generated analyses against your standards Requirements:

Hands-on experience covering specific races in swing states On-the-ground knowledge of electorate, candidates, and local politics Live forecasting experience, not retrospective commentary Solid polling literacy and causal event analysis Typically eight or more years of direct experience Use state-specific race knowledge, probabilistic judgment, and disciplined evidence-cutoff reasoning to author rigorous political forecasts.

📌 State Political Forecasting Analyst (Toronto)
🏢 Mercor
📍 Toronto