Apply polling literacy and causal analysis as a State Political Forecasting Analyst focused on elections, polling, and political-risk events. Work from fixed evidence cutoffs without hindsight.
This role authors expert political reports and forecasts for evaluating and improving AI models. You will analyze specific United States races, including Senate, governor, and statewide contests. The work requires documenting live judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds. You will also explain expected political and market impact.
Key Responsibilities: Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts
Document judgments about polling and win probabilities
Assess market-implied odds for political events
Explain causal political and market impacts




Grade model-generated analyses against your standards
Requirements: Hands-on experience covering specific races in swing states
On-the-ground knowledge of electorate, candidates, and local politics
Live forecasting experience, not retrospective commentary
Solid polling literacy and causal event analysis
Typically eight or more years of direct experience
Use state-specific race knowledge, probabilistic judgment, and disciplined evidence-cutoff reasoning to author rigorous political forecasts.

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📌 State Political Forecasting Analyst (Ontario)
🏢 Mercor
📍 Ontario