About The Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .

Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

Type: Contract Compensation: $150–$250/hour Location: Remote Role Responsibilities

- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.

Qualifications Must-Have

- Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states.
- On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political workplace.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance.

Preferred





- Experience in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in target states.
- State and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams.
- Decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage.
- National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state.

Not a fit

- Profiles with experience mainly in international politics, geopolitics, or country risk.
- Analysts who have not worked on a current or recent US race in the state they would cover.
- Pure communications or journalism profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.
- Academic profiles whose work is purely theoretical, with no analysis of live races.

Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)

- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form

Resources & Support

- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome
- For any help or support, reach out to: [email protected]

PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.

📌 Political Risk Expert - Fully Remote | Upto $250/hr (Toronto)
🏢 Mercor
📍 Toronto