Local Political Expert Elections Forecasting & Political Risk [$150-$250/hr]

This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.

Role Responsibilities

- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff

- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds

- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact

- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard

Good Candidature

- Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states: current or upcoming Senate, governor, or statewide contests, or recent cycles in the same state

- On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, the candidates, and the local political environment, from roles such as university political scientist, state or regional pollster, state-level campaign or party analytics staff, or state political-risk analyst
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races not retrospective commentary

- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis





- Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance

Preferable Backgrounds

- Political Science departments and survey research centers at universities in the target states, state and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams, and decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage

- National forecasting or political-risk experience is welcome when paired with deep knowledge of a specific state

- Brand-name experience is a robust first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies

Not a fit

- Profiles whose experience is mainly international politics, geopolitics, or country risk, with little or no work on US races

- Analysts who have not worked on a current or recent US race in the state they would cover

- Pure communications or journalism profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment

- Academic profiles whose work is purely theoretical, with no analysis of live races

📌 Political Expert (Canada)
🏢 Great Value Hiring
📍 Canada