Take on a critical role analyzing and forecasting political outcomes. This senior position focuses on crafting timely reports and insights into elections and polling. We seek a political risk analyst or senior elections forecaster with notable expertise in live polling judgments.

You will be responsible for generating political reports from evidence cutoffs, substantiating judgments on election probabilities, and assessing causal impacts of events. Prior experience in national polling organizations or campaign analytics is preferred. Key Responsibilities:

- Create timely political reports based on established cutoffs
- Document directional judgments regarding election odds
- Analyze the impact of political events on markets
- Assess model analyses and verify quality standards Requirements:
- 8+ years of direct experience in political forecasting
- Proven skills in polling literacy and analysis
- Solid background in making non-retrospective judgments
- Experience from reputable polling or political analysis entities Your role will be crucial in delivering accurate political forecasts and impactful analysis.

📌 Political Risk Analyst & Forecaster (Toronto)
🏢 Obsidian
📍 Toronto